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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? +1.4% Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? +3.0% Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? +0.6% Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? -0.4% Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? -0.1% Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? +3.6% Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? +0.2% Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? -1.3% US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? -0.2% Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? -2.0% Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? +1.4% Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? +3.0% Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? +0.6% Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? -0.4% Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? -0.1% Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? +3.6% Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? +0.2% Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? -1.3% US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? -0.2% Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? -2.0%
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