Live
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES 16%
NO 84%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES 49%
NO 51%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES 19%
NO 81%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?
YES 3%
NO 97%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 21%
NO 79%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
YES 87%
NO 13%
Geopolitics
LIVE PREDICTION MARKETS
POLITICS & GEO
Markets to Watch
What the world is betting on right now
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
87%
NO
YES
14%
NO
87%
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
69%
NO
YES
32%
NO
69%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
57%
YES
YES
57%
NO
43%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
78%
NO
YES
23%
NO
78%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
72%
NO
YES
29%
NO
72%