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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YES 16% NO 84% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YES 47% NO 53% Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? YES 20% NO 80% Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? YES 33% NO 67% Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? YES 21% NO 79% Fed rate hike in 2026? YES 89% NO 11%
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LIVE PREDICTION MARKET STATE
Money Flow
What the world is betting on right now
BIGGEST FLOW
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?
$94.2K traded
▲ 1.0 pts BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 9%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 9% NO 92%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$47.1K traded · ▲ 1.0 pts
YES 21% NO 80%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
VOLUME SPIKE
$16.2K traded · ▲ 1.9 pts
YES 61% NO 39%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$7.8K traded · ▼ 1.0 pts
YES 80% NO 21%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$19.3M traded
▼ 16 pts SHARP REVERSAL
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 21%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 21% NO 80%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$1.33M traded · ▼ 0.1 pts
YES 19% NO 81%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
SELLING PRESSURE
$1.30M traded · ▼ 3.5 pts
YES 34% NO 66%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?
SHARP REVERSAL
$756.2K traded · ▼ 20 pts
YES 9% NO 92%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$38.5M traded
▼ 28 pts SHARP REVERSAL
7D ODDS HISTORY YES 21%
Sep 5 Sep 7 Sep 9 Sep 12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 21% NO 80%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
VOLUME SPIKE
$6.97M traded · ▲ 2.0 pts
YES 19% NO 82%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
SHARP REVERSAL
$4.97M traded · ▼ 9.0 pts
YES 47% NO 54%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$4.33M traded · ▼ 1.0 pts
YES 34% NO 66%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$3.7K traded
▲ 1.0 pts BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 47%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 47% NO 54%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$1.6K traded · ▲ 0.0 pts
YES 3% NO 97%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$1.1K traded · ▲ 0.0 pts
YES 14% NO 86%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$1.0K traded · ▲ 0.0 pts
YES 4% NO 96%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$1.33M traded
▼ 0.1 pts BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 19%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 19% NO 81%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
SELLING PRESSURE
$1.30M traded · ▼ 3.5 pts
YES 34% NO 66%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$1.26M traded · ▲ 1.0 pts
YES 47% NO 54%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$667.6K traded · ▼ 0.3 pts
YES 14% NO 86%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$4.97M traded
▼ 9.0 pts SHARP REVERSAL
7D ODDS HISTORY YES 47%
Sep 5 Sep 7 Sep 9 Sep 12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 47% NO 54%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$4.33M traded · ▼ 1.0 pts
YES 34% NO 66%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$4.22M traded · ▼ 0.1 pts
YES 14% NO 86%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$3.81M traded · ▼ 1.4 pts
YES 19% NO 81%
BIGGEST FLOW
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
$3.5K traded
▼ 0.2 pts BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 3%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 3% NO 97%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
VOLUME SPIKE
$3.4K traded · ▼ 2.0 pts
YES 18% NO 82%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$2.6K traded · ▲ 0.0 pts
YES 69% NO 31%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
BUYING PRESSURE
$921 traded · ▲ 12 pts
YES 19% NO 82%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$397.7K traded
▲ 1.0 pts BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 6%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 6% NO 95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$387.0K traded · ▲ 0.3 pts
YES 3% NO 97%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$320.2K traded · ▲ 0.1 pts
YES 9% NO 91%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$248.7K traded · ▲ 0.0 pts
YES 16% NO 85%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$2.27M traded
▲ 0.0 pts BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
7D ODDS HISTORY YES 6%
Sep 5 Sep 7 Sep 9 Sep 12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 6% NO 95%
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
ODDS BREAKOUT
$1.95M traded · ▲ 43 pts
YES 98% NO 2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
VOLUME SPIKE
$1.89M traded · ▼ 1.7 pts
YES 3% NO 97%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
ODDS BREAKOUT
$1.84M traded · ▲ 40 pts
YES 81% NO 20%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$47.1K traded
▲ 1.0 pts BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 21%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 21% NO 80%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$7.8K traded · ▼ 1.0 pts
YES 80% NO 21%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
MOMENTUM BUILDING
$794 traded · ▲ 4.5 pts
YES 43% NO 57%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$792 traded · ▼ 0.1 pts
YES 93% NO 7%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$19.3M traded
▼ 16 pts SHARP REVERSAL
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 21%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 21% NO 80%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
MOMENTUM BUILDING
$217.1K traded · ▲ 4.0 pts
YES 38% NO 63%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
ODDS BREAKOUT
$193.7K traded · ▲ 10.0 pts
YES 89% NO 12%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
ODDS BREAKOUT
$188.6K traded · ▲ 17 pts
YES 80% NO 21%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
$38.5M traded
▼ 28 pts SHARP REVERSAL
7D ODDS HISTORY YES 21%
Sep 5 Sep 7 Sep 9 Sep 12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 21% NO 80%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$971.7K traded · ▲ 0.2 pts
YES 93% NO 7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
SELLING PRESSURE
$961.9K traded · ▼ 7.0 pts
YES 20% NO 81%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
VOLUME SPIKE
$520.4K traded · ▼ 2.5 pts
YES 77% NO 24%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$3.7K traded
▼ 1.0 pts BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 95%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 95% NO 6%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$1.1K traded · ▼ 1.0 pts
YES 42% NO 59%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
BUYING PRESSURE
$810 traded · ▲ 3.0 pts
YES 68% NO 32%
Will Z.ai have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?
SHARP REVERSAL
$151 traded · ▼ 20 pts
YES 4% NO 96%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$245.3K traded
▲ 7.0 pts MOMENTUM BUILDING
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 95%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 95% NO 6%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
ODDS BREAKOUT
$77.2K traded · ▲ 8.5 pts
YES 68% NO 32%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$37.3K traded · ▼ 1.0 pts
YES 84% NO 17%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$34.7K traded · ▲ 0.0 pts
YES 35% NO 66%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
$1.17M traded
▲ 9.0 pts ODDS BREAKOUT
7D ODDS HISTORY YES 95%
Sep 5 Sep 7 Sep 9 Sep 12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 95% NO 6%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
SHARP REVERSAL
$446.6K traded · ▼ 11 pts
YES 68% NO 32%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
MOMENTUM BUILDING
$183.5K traded · ▲ 7.5 pts
YES 69% NO 32%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
SHARP REVERSAL
$128.9K traded · ▼ 13 pts
YES 12% NO 88%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
$859 traded
▼ 0.3 pts BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 6%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 6% NO 94%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$371 traded · ▲ 0.7 pts
YES 2% NO 98%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$52 traded · ▲ 0.0 pts
YES 19% NO 82%
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$43 traded · ▲ 0.0 pts
YES 3% NO 97%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
$607.6K traded
▲ 0.0 pts BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 19%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 19% NO 82%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
VOLUME SPIKE
$313.1K traded · ▲ 2.1 pts
YES 6% NO 94%
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$60.6K traded · ▲ 0.0 pts
YES 3% NO 97%
New Zealand vs. USA: O/U 4.5
VOLUME SPIKE
$27.4K traded · ▼ 2.0 pts
YES 47% NO 53%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
$6.97M traded
▲ 2.0 pts VOLUME SPIKE
7D ODDS HISTORY YES 19%
Sep 5 Sep 7 Sep 9 Sep 12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 19% NO 82%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$2.19M traded · ▲ 1.3 pts
YES 6% NO 94%
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$777.5K traded · ▲ 0.0 pts
YES 3% NO 97%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$251.9K traded · ▲ 0.8 pts
YES 2% NO 98%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?
$94.2K traded
▲ 1.0 pts BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 9%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 9% NO 92%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 7-13?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$6.1K traded · ▼ 0.3 pts
YES 2% NO 98%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$4.8K traded · ▲ 0.5 pts
YES 63% NO 37%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 12?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$3.4K traded · ▲ 0.3 pts
YES 2% NO 98%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?
$756.2K traded
▼ 20 pts SHARP REVERSAL
24H ODDS HISTORY YES 9%
02:00 09:44 17:28 01:12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 9% NO 92%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
BIG MONEY, LITTLE MOVE
$483.8K traded · ▲ 0.5 pts
YES 63% NO 37%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
MOMENTUM BUILDING
$326.2K traded · ▲ 5.0 pts
YES 33% NO 68%
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?
SHARP REVERSAL
$320.1K traded · ▼ 23 pts
YES 5% NO 95%
BIGGEST FLOW
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
$2.93M traded
▼ 5.0 pts SELLING PRESSURE
7D ODDS HISTORY YES 33%
Sep 5 Sep 7 Sep 9 Sep 12
YES PROBABILITY TIME
YES 33% NO 68%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
VOLUME SPIKE
$2.40M traded · —
YES 63% NO 37%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
VOLUME SPIKE
$1.12M traded · ▲ 2.0 pts
YES 17% NO 84%
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?
VOLUME SPIKE
$1.00M traded · —
YES 5% NO 95%
Flow based on Polymarket trading activity Bet on what happens next →

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Live
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YES 16% NO 84% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YES 47% NO 53% Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? YES 20% NO 80% Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? YES 33% NO 67% Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? YES 21% NO 79% Fed rate hike in 2026? YES 89% NO 11%