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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YES 16% NO 84% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YES 50% NO 50% Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? YES 20% NO 80% Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? YES 4% NO 96% Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? YES 21% NO 79% Fed rate hike in 2026? YES 87% NO 13%
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Erik Stolt

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Live
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YES 16% NO 84% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? YES 50% NO 50% Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? YES 20% NO 80% Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? YES 4% NO 96% Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? YES 21% NO 79% Fed rate hike in 2026? YES 87% NO 13%